Why La Niña will not form & Implications for winter weather and South American summer commodities

Rainforest of Amazon in South America from the space view  by Crazy Owl Productions via Shutterstock

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'Why La Niña will not form & Implications for winter weather and South American summer commodities"

by Jim Roemer - Meteorologist - Commodity Trading Advisor - Principal, Best Weather Inc. & Climate Predict - Publisher, Weather Wealth Newsletter

  • Weekend Report - November 22-24, 2024

In this video (see link below), I address the following:

  • Why, for the last 8 months, I “poo-pooed” all standard weather forecast models calling for a La Niña. It has not happened and has been one key reason, along with the stronger dollar, for the longer-term bearish market in grains;
  • The 2013 analog: A cold and snowy December-January for much of the Midwest/and or eastern U.S.;
  • Two weeks ago, when coffee futures were trading around $2.60 per pound, we caught wind that Brazil's crop damage was far worse than many thought, even though the drought is breaking;
  • Cocoa prices continue to soar as a recovery in the 2025 global crop is unlikely;
  • What is the BestWeather Spider featured each week in our WeatherWealth newsletter? We give an example of our bearish attitude in soybeans, really since the summer of 2023 (a year and a half ago);
  • What is causing the extreme volatility in natural gas prices? Yes, we have a cold winter coming, but supplies are still huge and it will take weeks to eat into inventories.


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The free issue to the right was published nearly two months ago. Some things have changed, but download it nevertheless, if you are interested.

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On the date of publication, Jim Roemer did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.